Compound growth happens when earlier returns remain invested and can earn further returns. Time and new contributions both affect the result. A constant-rate calculation explains the mechanism, but real investments can rise and fall.
Returns become part of the next year's starting balance
At a hypothetical 5% annual return, €10,000 earns €500 in the first year. If that return stays invested, the next year begins with €10,500. Another 5% adds €525, bringing the balance to €11,025.
That extra €25 comes from earning a return on the first year's €500. With a constant positive rate, the euro amount of each year's gain increases as the balance grows. With a negative return, the balance can shrink.
For savings accounts, interest is a familiar example. For investments, the return may include price changes and reinvested distributions. The SEC's compound interest calculator is another way to explore contributions, time, and assumed rates.
A lump sum and time
For a lump sum with a constant annual rate, the calculation is:
Future value = starting amount × (1 + annual return)years
With €10,000 and 5%, ten years gives €10,000 × 1.0510, or about €16,289. At 20 years, the same starting amount becomes about €26,533.
These figures assume all returns are retained. Fees, taxes, withdrawals, and losses change the amount left to compound. All values here are nominal, so they do not yet show purchasing power.
Regular contributions change the result
Now add €200 at the end of each month. The table assumes a 5% effective annual return, converted to a matching monthly rate. It excludes fees and taxes to isolate the effect of time and contributions.
| Years | €10,000 only | €200/month only | Both together |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | €16,289 | €30,873 | €47,162 |
| 20 | €26,533 | €81,161 | €107,694 |
| 30 | €43,219 | €163,075 | €206,295 |
In the combined 20-year case, you contribute €10,000 upfront plus €48,000 through monthly payments: €58,000 in total. The projected balance is about €107,694, so about €49,694 comes from assumed growth.
For the monthly calculations, r = 1.051/12 − 1 and n = 12 × years. The contribution component is €200 × ((1 + r)n − 1) ÷ r. Adding the lump sum's future value gives the combined column.
An average is not the same as a smooth path
A 5% assumption every year creates a smooth illustration. Markets do not deliver it on schedule. Even a portfolio that grows over a long period can fall substantially along the way.
For a simple example, €10,000 falling 20% becomes €8,000. A subsequent 20% rise brings it to €9,600, still below the starting amount. A 25% rise from €8,000 would be needed to return to €10,000.
The timing of gains and losses also matters when you add or withdraw money. A constant-rate table cannot show that effect. Run several assumptions and do not treat one smooth outcome as a guarantee that money will be available on a particular date.
What this means for a housing decision
Renting may leave a down payment and buying fees available to invest upfront. The cheaper housing option may also release money for monthly contributions. These two amounts have different compounding histories because one is invested on day one and the other arrives over time.
Buying can also free money to invest, especially after the mortgage is repaid. The Home calculator compares both paths using equal starting cash and a matching monthly budget.
The contribution you can sustain is as important as the return assumption you choose. Start with an actual budget, keep reserves for bills, and inspect results after fees and applicable taxes.
Published by Rent vs Buy. Prepared with AI assistance, with primary sources linked in the text. Worked numbers are checked with automated tests against our calculator models or the stated formulas. Local fees and tax rules vary; these examples are not personalized advice.